by PANKAJ SHARMA
I
am quite sure that prime minister Narendra Modi will greet the nation on this
new year with the release of religious data of 2011 census which is still to be
made public because it is another weapon for the forces who want to polarize
the society by adopting different tricks to get political mileage in their
favour. Modi is not one of them who think twice to use a weapon to achieve a
goal even through sinful methods.
Let the polls of Jammu-Kashmir and Jharkhand assembly elections be over, Modi-Government
will come out with the population figures based on religion for the whole
country and in different states. Rashtriya Swayam Sevak Sangh and all its
sister organizations have already prepared themselves to launch a ‘social
campaign’ from early next year ‘to create awareness with a new assertiveness about
the continuous decrease in Hindu population in the country'.
RSS is sure of the fact that census 2011 data will prove beyond any doubt that
‘for the first time in over a century the proportion of the Hindu population in
the country has fallen below the 80 percent mark'. RSS ideologues think that
the revelation of this data will greatly help in subtly change the core psyche
of liberal Hindus. The decrease in Hindu population is psychologically
important figure on India's religious demographics and what could be a cause
for three cheers to RSS and Bhartiya Janta party if they can (mis)use this fact
to prove their 'appeasement theory'.
RSS top brass are keeping an eye over ‘the unique trend that the proportion of
Hindus has shown a secular decline since 1961, matched by a corresponding
increase in the proportion of Muslims’. BJP has a government in centre with
clear majority. Therefore, RSS is
planning to address this issue in all its seriousness and feels that ‘the fact
that proportion of Hindus has in the population shrunk from 83.4 percent in
1961 to below 80 percent in 2011 must get a focused attention’. RSS ideologues
are of the opinion that Hindu population had come down to 80.5 percent
according to the 2001 census and this trend matches with an almost equivalent
proportional rise among the Muslims who had reached to 13.4 percent in 2001
from 10.7 in 1961 to 2001. RSS has also analyzed that decadal of Hindu
population was 23.8 percent in 1961 which has now fallen to around 19 percent
and in comparison, the growth in Muslim population has accelerated from 30.6
percent in 1961 to more than 35 percent now.
RSS and BJP think tanks are working overtime to collect the data which can
prove that even the crude birth rates—CBR—that show the number of births per
thousand persons for Muslims is much higher than the Hindus. These think tanks
think that whereas all India CBR average is 25.9 percent, for Hindus it is only
24.9 percent and for Muslims it is 30.8 percent—6 percent more than the Hindus.
The comparison for total fertility rate for Hindu ad Muslim women has also been
analyzed by BJP-RSS teams to prove their point.
So, be ready to answer their questions first and don’t dare to ask that why it
is for the first time that the country’s ruling party—BJP—does not have a
single Muslim member in Loksabha? Why BJP had fielded only 7 Muslim candidates
for 540-members’ Loksabha? Why for full 15 years when Narendra Modi was heading
Gujarat, not a single Muslim was given a BJP ticket to contest in any of five
Loksabha or assembly elections held during that period? How many Muslim
candidates BJP is fielding in Jammu & Kashmir where out of one crore
population around 70 lacs are Muslims? And, how many Muslim candidates are
there from BJP in Jharkhand where Muslim population is around 38 lacs?
One should also not ask the prime minister or BJP or RSS that why it is so that
in spite of ruling more than one third of India’s population through BJP plus
allies’ governments in nine states they have only one Muslim minister? These
nine states have 151 ministers and the only fortunate Muslim minister is Yunus
Khan in Rajsthan. One should also not ask that why in the assembly election for
Maharashtra, BJP fielded only one Muslim candidate and in Haryana only two? Are
both these states do not have sizable Muslim population?
In a country where according to 2001 census the religious breakup between
Hindus and Muslims is 80.5 and 13.4 percent and other minorities like
Christians (2.3), Sikhs (1.9), Budhists (0.8) and Jains (0.4) practically have no
polling booth level role in politics, the release of religious data of 2011
census with a specific purpose in mind is bound to make polarization process
much deeper and faster. And, it will be both ways. One can also expect greater
Muslim assertiveness immediately after census 2011 data is officially out.
Religious
headcount is being undertaken since the first Census of India 1871-72. Colonel
U.N. Mukherji had written a pamphlet in 1909—Hindus: A Dying Race. His projections were based on the study of
three consecutive censuses 1881, 1891 and 1901. Mukherji met Swami Shraddhanand
of Arya Samaj at Calcutta in 1911. His statistical and analytical study and the
current data will provide ammunition to RSS and BJP and I can only pray, with
my fingers crossed, that all the political outfits following the principals of
inclusive politics are properly prepared to fight this battle from the
beginning of 2015. It is high time when all the well meaning individuals and organisations
with positive and liberal minds take a call to save the social fabric of India
from these attacks.